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UEFA Europa League 2026/27
In progressSep 16, 2026 – May 26, 202736 clubs
Simulator
Pick the results of the remaining matches and see how every team's odds change. Each change replays the rest of the phase 10,000 times.
No results picked
Matches you don't pick are simulated from their probabilities.
Matches to play
Matchday 3Oct 22
- OFI CreteBayer Leverkusen
- Union Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er Sheva
- FerencvárosTorreense
- Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar
- JuventusStade Rennais
- Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
- Lech PoznańSunderland
- SK Sturm GrazMarseille
- OlympiacosSparta Prague
- BeşiktaşCrystal Palace
- CelticCelta Vigo
- NK CeljeRB Salzburg
- Viktoria PlzeňLevski Sofia
- TSG HoffenheimLyon
- Omonia NicosiaBenfica
- Jagiellonia BiałystokAnderlecht
- LillestrømReal Sociedad
- AFC BournemouthAC Milan
Matchday 4Nov 5
- AC MilanFerencváros
- Sparta PragueAFC Bournemouth
- Crystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim
- LillestrømViktoria Plzeň
- NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia
- Real SociedadLyon
- Stade RennaisOlympiacos
- Levski SofiaJagiellonia Białystok
- AnderlechtRB Salzburg
- Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
- TorreenseArarat-Armenia
- Celta VigoUnion Saint-Gilloise
- Hapoel Be'er ShevaOFI Crete
- BenficaLech Poznań
- AZ AlkmaarJuventus
- SunderlandDinamo Zagreb
- CelticBeşiktaş
- SK Sturm GrazNK Celje
Matchday 5Nov 26
- BeşiktaşHapoel Be'er Sheva
- Union Saint-GilloiseLech Poznań
- MarseilleLevski Sofia
- Dinamo ZagrebBayer Leverkusen
- Celta VigoAFC Bournemouth
- OlympiacosAC Milan
- RB SalzburgArarat-Armenia
- Viktoria PlzeňBenfica
- TSG HoffenheimSK Sturm Graz
- TorreenseCeltic
- NEC NijmegenStade Rennais
- SunderlandJagiellonia Białystok
- Sparta PragueAZ Alkmaar
- FerencvárosNK Celje
- LyonLillestrøm
- JuventusOmonia Nicosia
- OFI CreteAnderlecht
- Crystal PalaceReal Sociedad
Matchday 6Dec 10
- AZ AlkmaarSK Sturm Graz
- Ararat-ArmeniaNEC Nijmegen
- Hapoel Be'er ShevaJuventus
- Stade RennaisDinamo Zagreb
- Omonia NicosiaCeltic
- AnderlechtTSG Hoffenheim
- Jagiellonia BiałystokCrystal Palace
- MarseilleCelta Vigo
- Lech PoznańFerencváros
- LyonUnion Saint-Gilloise
- NK CeljeOlympiacos
- AFC BournemouthViktoria Plzeň
- Levski SofiaLillestrøm
- AC MilanSunderland
- BenficaOFI Crete
- Bayer LeverkusenBeşiktaş
- Real SociedadTorreense
- RB SalzburgSparta Prague
Matchday 7Jan 21
- LillestrømAFC Bournemouth
- OlympiacosTSG Hoffenheim
- SK Sturm GrazOFI Crete
- FerencvárosJuventus
- Real SociedadViktoria Plzeň
- Ararat-ArmeniaNK Celje
- Jagiellonia BiałystokLyon
- NEC NijmegenBenfica
- BeşiktaşUnion Saint-Gilloise
- AZ AlkmaarDinamo Zagreb
- Levski SofiaAC Milan
- Lech PoznańTorreense
- Bayer LeverkusenRB Salzburg
- CelticMarseille
- Crystal PalaceSparta Prague
- Hapoel Be'er ShevaCelta Vigo
- Stade RennaisOmonia Nicosia
- AnderlechtSunderland
Matchday 8Jan 28
- Celta VigoLillestrøm
- TorreenseOlympiacos
- LyonBayer Leverkusen
- Dinamo ZagrebSK Sturm Graz
- Viktoria PlzeňJagiellonia Białystok
- AC MilanArarat-Armenia
- Union Saint-GilloiseCeltic
- MarseilleAnderlecht
- NK CeljeNEC Nijmegen
- Omonia NicosiaBeşiktaş
- SunderlandLevski Sofia
- BenficaAZ Alkmaar
- TSG HoffenheimFerencváros
- RB SalzburgCrystal Palace
- OFI CreteLech Poznań
- AFC BournemouthHapoel Be'er Sheva
- Sparta PragueStade Rennais
- JuventusReal Sociedad
0 of 108 matches have a market line; the rest use our model.
Odds
| Now | Team | Pts | Avg | 1–8 | 9–24 | 25–36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Benfica | 6 | 3.4 | 93% | 7% | <1% |
| 1 | Juventus | 6 | 5.0 | 83% | 17% | <1% |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 5.7 | 78% | 22% | <1% |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 7.4 | 66% | 33% | 1% |
| 8 | Lyon | 6 | 7.5 | 64% | 35% | 1% |
| 9 | Sunderland | 6 | 8.4 | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| 16 | AC Milan | 3 | 8.6 | 56% | 43% | 1% |
| 10 | Olympiacos | 6 | 8.7 | 55% | 43% | 1% |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 6 | 9.8 | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| 7 | Ferencváros | 6 | 11.7 | 32% | 65% | 3% |
| 13 | Stade Rennais | 4 | 12.9 | 28% | 66% | 6% |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 12.9 | 30% | 63% | 7% |
| 12 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 13.0 | 27% | 68% | 5% |
| 20 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 15.3 | 17% | 73% | 11% |
| 21 | RB Salzburg | 3 | 17.1 | 11% | 73% | 16% |
| 23 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 18.3 | 7% | 73% | 19% |
| 6 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 18.6 | 7% | 72% | 21% |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 18.7 | 9% | 67% | 24% |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 19.4 | 7% | 66% | 27% |
| 31 | Marseille | 0 | 20.7 | 4% | 64% | 32% |
| 29 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 21.7 | 4% | 59% | 38% |
| 27 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 23.0 | 2% | 53% | 44% |
| 17 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 3 | 23.2 | 2% | 51% | 47% |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 23.5 | 2% | 50% | 48% |
| 18 | OFI Crete | 3 | 24.3 | 1% | 47% | 52% |
| 28 | Anderlecht | 0 | 25.0 | 1% | 43% | 56% |
| 34 | Celtic | 0 | 25.1 | 1% | 42% | 57% |
| 19 | Torreense | 3 | 25.4 | 1% | 40% | 59% |
| 30 | TSG Hoffenheim | 0 | 25.7 | 1% | 39% | 60% |
| 32 | Viktoria Plzeň | 0 | 26.9 | <1% | 33% | 67% |
| 25 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 28.5 | <1% | 23% | 77% |
| 36 | Lech Poznań | 0 | 29.0 | <1% | 22% | 78% |
| 24 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 29.2 | <1% | 18% | 81% |
| 22 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 29.7 | <1% | 17% | 83% |
| 35 | NK Celje | 0 | 30.0 | <1% | 17% | 83% |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 32.6 | <1% | 6% | 94% |
10,000 simulations · Probabilities, not certainties.
How it works
Every remaining match has a probability for 1, X and 2: the betting market's, with the bookmaker's margin removed, once a line is out (about 48 hours before kick-off), otherwise our model's.
For clubs, the model uses our club Elo rating: a starting level for each club, updated after every result in the club competitions we cover, plus home advantage.
With those probabilities we play out the rest of the phase thousands of times, with realistic scorelines, and rank every table with the same tie-breakers as the official standings. The percentages are the share of simulations in which each outcome happens.
Probabilities, not certainties.